SALARYD.IFF (Converted)
SOME REFLECTIONS ON WAGE & SALARY DIFFERENTIALS
& FAMILY INCOME
David B. Timmins
Professor of Finance & Economics
Instituto Technologico de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey
Hermosillo, Son., Mexico
The Good Morning America
program recently devoted a session to discussing the apparent fall in expectations
confronting the "yuppie generation" which is finding it increasingly difficult, if
not impossible, to attain the same standard of living as their parents. All but
one of the participants asserted that they were worse off as a family than their parents had
been at a similar stage of their life, and most expressed doubt that their children
would be as well off as they were. The question was asked whether the traditional
American expectation for each generation to surpass its parents in income and satisfaction
of its secular wants may not have peaked.
There are some underlying elements of economic theory which may help us to better
understand what is happening not only in American society, but what is awaiting other
nations currently experiencing the "Revolution of Rising Expectations" which first
occurred in the United States.
The Determinants of Wages & Salaries
There are a number of theories of wages -- not all necessarily completely congruent.
Most fundamental, and recent, is the concept of the marginal productivity of labor.
Together with the related concepts of the marginal productivity of capital (which
determines the "underlying", or "indicated" level of interest), and of land (which
determines "rent"), this was perhaps the most insightful contribution of neo-classic
economics. Had it occurred earlier and not twelve years after Marx' death, the most egregious
errors, if not the calamity of Marxism itself might have been avoided since it wrote
fin
to the inadequate and dangerously misleading "Labor Theory" of value which has caused
Marxism to consider profit as "exploitation of labor". Marxist leadership, not only
in Russia, but elsewhere, has thus misunderstood and catastrophically ignored the
importance and role of entrepreneurship, depriving the Soviet economy and society of
good management and an effectively producing economy.
Clearly, the marginal contribution of labor sets a ceiling to salaries, for no firm
can long pay more than the added value that labor contributes to the productive process.
But the concept of marginal productivity is a teleological not an operational explanation, i.e. it explains a distant end towards which the economic process tends.
It does not determine today's wages. Of course, if adjustment towards economic
equilibrium were friction-free and instantaneous, if there were no market or societal
imperfections, and if we were dealing with a static society and economy, this would not
be so, and wages as determined by the market and by the concept of marginal productivity
would be one and the same. But given recognition lags, inertia in leaving old employment and encountering new, the constant emergence of new trades and professions, and
the time needed for markets to determine the need for and marginal contribution of
labor in these new trades and industries, the economy seldom, if ever, achieves a
position of settled equilibrium. So we must be satisfied with identifying and living in
a "neighborhood of equilibrium" more or less distant from the ever-changing theoretical
goal towards which an ever-changing society is tending.
In a more settled and traditional past, these same forces of equilibrium were, of
course, at work, determining the value contributed by the last unit of labor employed
and setting a wage level in the "neighborhood of equilibrium" more or less equivalent
to this "marginal contribution" -- though the actual concept and its analysis yet awaited
future discovery. Practice often, if not usually, precedes theory. In these more
settled conditions, where little change might occur within an entire generation,
it is quite possible that a true equilibrium -- or near to it -- was achieved: though
economic history attests that even in such times events occurred to upset even balances
of long duration -- famines, wars, discovery of new mineral deposits, introduction
of new products and processes from abroad -- resulting in periods of disequilibrium
and new relationships of wages and prices after a period of testing and settling
down. Thus, absent our modern understanding of marginality, an alternative explanation
for wages prevailed through most of history: this was the concept of "customary wages",
or the "just" wage, which said simply that there was an hierarchy of jobs based on
time and experience and that there was an appropriate distance between the salaries
of various trades and professions which should be maintained despite occasional shifts in
money incomes due to bouts of inflation (or, in pre-Union days) of disinflation,
due to the occasional wars, famines, and other destabilizing events mentioned above.
As with the concept of the "just price", this theory prevailed through much of history,
affecting master/servant relationships in both Greece and Rome and determining wages
and salaries in medieval guilds.
In traditional times, this alternative explanation for wages and salaries was perhaps
an adequate surrogate explanation, rule of thumb, or "shadow" theory, which satisfied,
if it did not actually explain, differences in wages and salaries. Even after economic science was able to explain in fine theoretical detail the ultimate determinants
of wages and salaries, businessmen by and large continued to rely on the Customary
Wage doctrine for setting actual wages and salaries. And, as will be seen, there
is a not inconsequential residual element of the "customary wage" concept in the differential
between mens' and womens' wages even today (see final paragraph).
The great English Neo-Classical Economist Alfred Marshall explained the persistence
of this usage. Marshall said that not only did few businessmen have the technical
background to understand marginal theory of either wages or prices, it was unnecessary
that they do so. As long as a merchant could observe what his successful competitor
was doing and imitate him in terms of production technique, style, quality, price,
and cost of inputs (including wages), he could survive, even if he were not the most
efficient producer. Again, in slower moving times, this was perhaps sufficient. Unfortunately,
setting wages by "custom" has continued right down to our own day. But taking into
account union pressures, increased international competition, rapidly changing societal expectations, and the contemporary transition to a service economy (where
wages and salaries constitute an increasingly predominant share of the cost of production,
thus leaving less room for error in their setting), makes such a nonchalant approach to setting wages no longer adequate.
There is also the concept of wages within "non-competing groups", which says that
incomes for physicians and mechanics, fishermen and lumberjacks, day laborers and
electronic technicians need have little effect on each other since the employees
of neither group are readily interchangeable nor compete with each other.
The most troublesome aspect of these approaches for our current experience, and the
main reason why we can no longer accept "rule of thumb" wage determination, is that
during the Industrial Revolution, the last great change in wage structure, a major
socio-economic consideration became built-in to customary wage determination which has
presented major difficulties in the current transition. That is, the cost of maintaining
and rearing families. When classical economists talked of wages tending towards
"survival level" under the Malthusian conditions of the Industrial Revolution, they
were in fact talking of the survival not of the individual worker, but of the worker
and his family, his wife, and children. To be sure, wage pressure was such under
these conditions that entry-level wages were customarily set for the bachelor worker and
marriage was postponed until a worker was established in his trade or profession.
There is a remnant of this in our university system where new graduates are accorded
the degree of Bachelor of Arts (or Sciences), anticipating his status during his coming
years of professional establishment. In these circumstances it was the custom (and
became structured into the wage system) to increase the base wage when an employee
took a wife, and again upon the arrival of children. Not that this was automatic. But it
did
become the prevailing custom as can be determined by reading the literature of the
time. In effect, single workers were subsidizing the families of their married colleagues
and the employer was banker and broker in the deal. Where similar conditions continue to prevail in some professions, e.g. medicine, the military, and diplomacy we
call this "paying one's dues".
Which brings us to a final, overriding, consideration in the setting of wages and
salaries: simple supply and demand, which can -- and historically often has -- overridden
the more nuanced considerations of custom, non-competing groups, and marginal productivity. During the Industrial Revolution, which, because wool weaving was an important
part of its early stages, coincided with the Enclosure Movement, driving thousands
of farm tenants off the land, there was a constant and growing surplus of labor in
the newly urbanized industrial regions. This kept wage rates low because it was easy
to replace anyone expecting higher wages with a new arrival from the countryside.
During this period, it is possible that owing to the surplus of labor wages may
well have been well below its marginal product, giving false confirmation to Marx' exploitation
theory of profits. Be that as it may, cheap labor, low prices, and high profits
soon made England the industrialized leader of the world. Following the American
Civil War and the arrival of large numbers of immigrants from Southern and Eastern Europe,
similar conditions prevailed in the United States, which soon overtook and surpassed
Britain as the Industrial capital and leading exporter of the world. Today we encounter these same conditions in Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Mexico, where
abundant, cheap labor is attracting major new capital investment and flooding the
world with low cost, quality products.
In short, wages are determined by a multiplicity of factors, among which are: a) its
supply relative to capital and to competing economies abroad, b) its marginal productivity,
c) existing technology and its cost, which determines the optimal mix of labor and capital d) the customary expectations of both employers and workers arising from
lags in recognizing changes in professional rankings in the job market, friction
in adjusting to these new conditions, and unrecognized built-in social considerations,
i.e. the traditional "family premium" paid in the past to heads of families.
The Contemporary World
A number of years ago, at the beginning of the Women's Lib movement, one of the authors
was asked to address a group of working women in Washington D.C. on "The Economic
Implications of Equal Wages". He believes the group was more than a little surprised when he told them that the results of equal wages were bound to be far more far reaching
than most of them had recognized. For one thing, equal wages were almost sure to
virtually eliminate a major life option for many of the less-work-engaged of their
gender, i.e. of devoting their lives to enriching the lives of their children and mates
through becoming a traditional homemaker. He is sure most of his auditors felt that
this would always simply remain an option for the less ambitious or more traditionally-minded. He pointed out that educators had long known that many of the most successful
students academically came from families in which mothers spend hours of time reading,
playing with, and otherwise enriching the minds of their children. The drive for "wage equality" would by reason of the nature of the economic adjustment process,
not result in simply raising the real wages of women to the level of men, it would
be the equivalent of the discovery of New World gold to Spain, the Enclosure Act
in England, and the mass immigration of impoverished Europeans to the post-Civil War U.S.
There would be an enormous increase in output and aggregate wealth owing to the
virtual doubling of the labor force, but by reason of supply/demand considerations,
real incomes for individual workers would not improve commensurately. Indeed, the tendency
would be (taking into account the all but inevitable resultant inflation) to narrow
the gap between male and female wages primarily by diminishing male wages in absolute
(inflation discounted) terms. The result would be to tilt the equilibrium in favor
of capital (which would become a more relatively "scarce" factor than it otherwise
would have been), and the elimination of the "family premium" from head of household
wages, compelling women who had initially had no desire to do so to enter the job market
to maintain the real level of family income.
The "Customary" approach to setting wages and salaries has taken other blows. We
have entered an era of unparalleled industrial change. New industries emerge daily.
We are shifting to a Service Economy, in which wages and salaries constitute a much
larger share of production costs than heretofore, forcing employees to focus much more
intently on marginal costs and marginal productivity than ever in the past. Publications
now exist which focus entirely on sectoral wages and salaries and which forecast
future salary trends, thus reducing significantly traditional recognition lags. The
speed of societal change is similarly shuffling the relative prestige, demand for,
and salaries within various professions at unprecedented rates. Within a single
generation we have seen the doubling in the admissions of students to education as medical
doctors, a consequent sharp fall in relative incomes, and, more recently, a decline
in the number of the otherwise qualified young willing to pay the cost in terms of
dollars, time, and sacrifice to become physicians. Young people are better educated and
have higher expectations than their fathers. Yet at the same time there has been
an erosion in the concept of lifetime devotion to one job, one company, or even one
career. The average worker changes jobs five times during his/her life. And it is no longer
uncommon for a mid-career individual to return to school to completely retrain him/herself
for another career. Economists used to think of "non-competing groups" being an element in wage isolation. Surely this is no longer such an important concept
with forty-year olds preparing themselves for new careers in conformity with the
latest published salary trends, and with the Courts upholding the rights of professionals
competitively to advertise their prices and services.
Today more than half of U.S. women work, many whether they wish to or not, just to
maintain an expected lifestyle. As a result, the option of many women to live a
traditional lifestyle has effectively been eliminated without their having been consulted
about this societal choice which was, whatever its merits, inadequately thought through
and sold to Congress and the Courts on essentially specious grounds. Many states
require referenda before adopting many programs of much less far-reaching importance.
This was a classic example of the vociferous few redirecting the lives of the "silent
majority" in a direction of benefit primarily to the engaged minority.
This has had another unforseen result. By reason of the need for child-care for children
of working mothers, and sensing the continuing need for the missing enrichment of
a mother-child relationship, there has been a rise in mother-surrogate pre-school
child-care centers. Responding to normal supply/demand mandates, these centers have
availed themselves of the advantages of every "growth industry", and prices have
skyrocketed to match demand. This has, in consequence, reduced the disposable income
of working mothers gained from working. Taking into account transportation costs, additional
clothing costs, eating out costs, and other associated expenses, many working mothers
are finding that they are contributing relatively little additional household revenue. They are spending their days away from the children, returning home as emotionally
exhausted as their spouses, while still finding the family falling behind the standard
of living achieved by their parents.
A Bit of "Futurology" Based on Present Trends
The "Good Morning America" program, alluded to above, interviewed a number of "Yuppie"
families. With the exception of some minority group families (which is a subject
beyond the ambit of this paper and where quite different considerations apply), the
Network found them disappointed with the outcome of the New Society introduced in the
1960s. While it is impossible to predict the future with any exactitude, surely
it is the function of science to be able to sketch at least the outlines of alternative
future courses of action based on the application of theory and reasonable hypotheses.
There are a number of considerations growing from present trends which can be predicted
with some accuracy:
First, a couple of positive probabilities:
The number of women in the professions will continue to increase. Already the number
of female professors, executives, medical doctors, attorneys, senior civil servants
and other government officials has increased dramatically. This will inevitably
result in richer and more meaningful lives for these individuals and a better society
for everyone, at least from the perspective that any group is better off when it
engages the talents and contributions of as many of its members as possible. The
waste or under-employment of human capital is the worst economic waste of all.
With the elimination of the "family premium" from head of household income, it will
remain customary for both husbands and wives to work in future. This is not necessarily
bad. Two income families provide an additional "built in stabilizer" which will
probably prove as important as social security payments, unemployment and bank deposit
insurance, and the graduated income tax in minimizing the shock of future economic
recessions. As such, it may eventually permit the economic and financial leadership
of the nation to entertain the notion of again permitting such periodic downturns, identified
by the great economic thinker Joseph Schumpeter as the periods of "creative destruction",
essential to preserve the efficiency of capitalism. having through the application of Keynesian deficit finance avoided any such major
downturn for forty years, the stored up results of protecting inefficient competitors
from yielding up their resources to the more efficient, have finally come home to
roost, underlining Schumpeter's warning that if socialism is to succeed it will be
because capitalism has lost sight of its superiority in return for the meretricious doctrine
of planned perfection -- something of which fallible human beings are incapable.
With Churchill, who once said "Democracy is the worst form of government, except
for all the others we've tried", Schumpeter has told us, in effect, that "Capitalism is
the worst of all economic systems, except for the alternatives, which promise perfection
but deliver perpetual inefficiency in return for eliminating short periods of essential readjustment." Perhaps with more two-income families the occasional recession,
permitting the inefficient to go out of business and reallocating plant, equipment,
and manpower to more able management, will not be considered too high a cost to pay
for economic efficiency, as it appears to have been in the recent past and the American
economy will be permitted to operate more efficiently in the future, even at the
cost of some short-term, partial unemployment.
Doubling the work force not only means increasing output due to more workers, it means
increasing the number of brains creatively devoted to the productive process. There
is no reason for thinking that the female brain is inferior to the male brain, even should some studies which seem to say that the female brain works somewhat differently
than the male brain be confirmed. Indeed, much of the richness and past achievement
of the American economy has been due to the fusion of people of different languages (which linguists tell us implies use of somewhat different logic processes), cultures,
and backgrounds. More women workers means more human capital -- the scarcest, most
productive and most costly of all capital. Which means a large new infusion of productive capacity. And if women use a somewhat different logic, they may well contribute
ideas which would not have occurred to male supervisors, managers, engineers, and
scientists, just as some think today's physics may be Oriental language physics,
capable of coming up with the concept of black holes and negative matter, ideas which may
never have occurred to Indo-Germanic language thinkers. Think of the number of Oriental
Nobel Prize winners in recent years, when, as it may be, the biggest contributions of Indo-Germanic thought logic have been exhausted. Finally, by tilting the mix
of labor and capital somewhat in favor of capital, it may make U.S. wage rates somewhat
more competitive relative to foreign labor and stimulate savings (which has been
below our historic average in recent years), raising U.S. productivity in another direction.
Child-care will be accepted as a normal part of education. In France, children of
working mothers are accepted into the Ecoles Maternelles
(a sort of pre-Kindergarten) as a matter of regular course. Europeans attend school
at least an hour and a half longer per day, plus an additional half-day per week
and twenty additional school days per year. Many Europeans start school two and
a half years earlier than in this country. Added up, this amounts to a total of almost four
additional years of schooling for a young Brit, Frenchman or German. Whether they
have better teachers or whether their system of education is more adequate (and both
these propositions are debatable) they are almost certain with four more years schooling
to learn more than the average American student (and they do -- especially in languages,
maths, history, geography, and science). Once Pre-School becomes part of the American education system it can presumably be provided at reduced cost and at a higher
standard, thus avoiding the tragedies of children lost down uncapped, abandoned wells,
in unlicensed schools. If this is the result, mothers will happily be left with
a larger share of their earnings to supplement family incomes and working may become not
only economically necessary, but worthwhile.
With smaller family size, there will be presumably fewer children in the schools of
the future. Should, as is to be hoped, the contemporary movement to year-round schools
continue, the double incidence of fewer children and more teacher/classroom space
per year should mean sharply reduced class sizes in the future. If insistence is increased
for nationwide (possibly federally supervised) periodic teacher qualification testing,
one might even hope that the quality of U.S. education might rise over the next decade or two resulting in enhanced economic and social performance.
Now to a more debatable likelihood:
The drastic fall in family size arising from the two worker family is likely to continue
to occur first, if not exclusively, among the better-educated, upwardly mobile Anglo-Saxon
majority. Hispanics continue to follow a more traditional family life style, though this may change somewhat over time. And Blacks have evolved an alternative
culture in which the majority of Black children are born in single-parent families,
often depending on Welfare for support. The renowned Black Economist Thomas Sowell
has written insightfully of these problems. It remains to be seen if his counsel will
be taken or his recommendations adopted. But taking into account the customary "recognition
and implementation lags" this inevitably means that the nation is going to face a changing social, cultural, linguistic, and racial makeup in the coming century.
This need not necessarily present a problem, certainly not in the sense that the
existing social mix is inherently "better" than any alternative, but it will surely
compel some difficult social choices and is certain to increase societal tensions.
American law and social and business usages are rooted in Anglo-Saxon tradition, and
the rise of competing traditions will unavoidably result in tensions. Both authors
will never forget how strongly we were impressed in a graduate class in political
theory (at the University of Utah) taught by Professor Francis Worthmuth when he pointed
out that most of the revolutions of the past had been caused by emerging minorities
challenging the social and economic privileges of older establishments. Nothing,
said Professor Wormuth, has stimulated more violence than diminished social distance between
the privileged and a previously despised under-group.
American social stability, acceptance of court procedures, and willingness to accommodate
electoral outcomes without overt manifestations, have been among our great strengths.
One need only look back on the disruption of the events associated with the Civil Rights Movement of the '60s when a formerly deprived social group challenged the
superiority of an established elite, or the trial of the Chicago Seven challenging
traditional courtroom procedure, to accept this analysis. Or one might try to identify
other countries with equivalent standards of social order to realize how few they
are among the 170 some odd nations of the earth. It is probably impossible for most
readers to identify more than two hands full of countries where there hasn't been
a recent coup d' etat
, rigged election, declaration of a new "president for life", replaced or suspended
constitution, widespread political arrests, closed or censored newspapers, controlled
radio or T.V., intimidation of the judiciary by kidnapping a wife, sister, or child,
or a judge, or just plain theft, bribery, and corruption. Historically and globally,
the crust of civilization is more fragile than the privileged youth of America recognized
in the '60s when they wanted to "burn everything down and let flowers grow through the ashes". What they didn't understand -- presumably because they'd never been
taught history, or read or understood what they were taught -- is that as a consequence
of every revolution there is enormous destruction and disorder. It took France over
a hundred years to reattain stability after the revolution of 1789. Russia has still
not reachieved social stability after 70 years. Nor China. And few countries even
improve their situations following the overturn of an established order however inadequate the previous regime: viz., Iran, Cuba, Zimbabwe, Libya, Upper Volta, Nicaragua,
Vietnam. And even in the few where matters are somewhat improved following a revolution,
the situation often remains tenuous at best: The Philippines, Salvador, Egypt.
Most of the rest remain on an unstable edge between prosperity and poverty, democracy
and dictatorship: Brazil, Argentina, Mexico, South Africa, India, Pakistan, Indonesia,
Taiwan, Korea.
So, if the United States is going to experience a telling population shift from a
dominant European/Anglo-Saxon traditional majority, to an ever more substantial Black/Hispanic/Oriental
minority, we should take thought of what the implications of such a major cultural/social/linguistic tilt may be. If we could be sure that our educational
system, as in the more remote past, would inculcate the same love of country, and
the traditional forms of government, and respect for law and order, and acceptance
of the judicial and governmental/electoral systems as it did for other new immigrants,
perhaps one could be less preoccupied. Unfortunately, societies tend to recognize
such problems only after the foundation begins to slide and it is too late to shore
up.
This comment is intended neither as a counsel of despair nor as an expression of fear
or dislike of other cultural forms; merely as recognition that few things are more
unstable than societies in which a new generation is constantly being born, the old
passing away and in which fad and fetish are continually at work undermining custom.
Linguists estimate that before dialects become set by the development of written
forms and relatively widespread literacy emerges, more than half the vocabulary changes
every other generation. (Anyone acquainted with how teenagers invent new "lingo" can
appreciate this - especially taking into account that most of the population a few
hundred years ago lived little beyond teenage). Winston Churchill recognized this
delicate balance, insisting that the House of Commons be reconstructed inch for inch and
detail by detail following WW II exactly as it had been prior to its destruction
by a German bomb, so that the chemical/geometrical balance achieved during a thousand
years of evolving British democracy would not be altered. This was a truly Conservative
recognition of the unity of past, present, and future which few Americans are capable
of, as we tear down town halls, civic centers, and historic churches, replacing them
with new, vastly larger, and architecturally different structures with no appreciation
whatsoever for the effects this will have on delicate political, social, or religious
interchange between clergy and laity, citizen and town council, or in the dynamic
division of power between state, local, and national governments. Of course we cannot
prevent change, nor should we wish to. But surely it is not wrong to try to preserve
the precious institutions of political stability which have favored our nation's
development and insulated us from the graver social disturbances and destruction others
have suffered.
Some Thoughts on the Social Effects of Wages and on "Externalities"
As with the group of working women one of us addressed in Washington almost twenty
years ago, and whose sole and simple interest was increasing the size of their monthly
pay check, we suspect that few would recognize the profound social forces set loose
by an innocent demand for wage justice in the workplace. A great French Classical
Economist Leon Walras recognized the interdependence and interrelationship of every
item bought, sold or produced in the marketplace. This we today call General Equilibrium
Theory. In essence, GET tells us that if a consumer decides to buy one product instead
of another, like the effects of a rock tossed into a pond, this effects not only
the price and quantity of the product produced, even if infinitesimally, (as even
the economically naive might imagine), but of every product and service not
bought as well. It also effects the prices and quantities used of every factor of
production, including labor, and of every product, factor, and service which interest
into international trade, either as an import or export. Similarly, when the price
or quantity of any factor (e.g. labor, land rent, bank interest charges) changes, this
has repercussions on every other factor and product until another general equilibrium
is produced (or, in dynamic conditions, the system is at least tilted towards such
new equilibrium).
This discussion may have appeared somewhat negative -- perhaps even anti-Women's Liberation.
It is not intended as such, even though there were such charges following our address
twenty years ago. It is nothing more than an attempt at an even-handed economic analysis of some of the unrecognized implication of introducing a new tilt in
the old General Equilibrium.
At this point we believe we could safely say that we have expanded Walras' General
Theory of Economic Equilibrium into a more all-inclusive concept of General Socio-Economic
Equilibrium. We think it has been established that every aspect of our social, cultural, economic, political life impacts on every other aspect. This has already
been recognized in some degree by writers examining the reasons for the extraordinary
competitiveness of Japan in the modern world economy. It is beginning to be understood that the tight family life of the Japanese, their close parent-child relationship,
deferential respect for employer and state, and societal coherence, contribute enormously
to their competitive situation. It makes them study harder in school (resulting
in better and more economically purchased human capital); they are harder and more
devoted workers (contributing ideas freely for making better products with fewer
errors through "quality circles"). One Japanese leader recently observed that perhaps
Japan Airlines should charge Boeing for all the free advice it has given to improve aircraft
quality. Japanese workers, because of the lack of comprehensive social security,
save four times as much as US workers. Unlike the US system, this money is not merely
transferred from the pocket of current workers into those of the already retired,
it is individually owned and individually invested (more capital available to purchase
the latest technology, less wastage of resources by unemployed and retired persons
-- it is their
money they spend, not public funds.) Money that belongs to everyone belongs to no
one, like any other unattended for property. And because of Japan's cohesive, inward-looking
society they tend to buy "made in Japan" products even if they cost two or three times more than imports, simply because they have not yet learned to look abroad
for new styles and products.
Similar, but diametrically opposed, profound socio-cultural forces are at work in
American society. Some of these have in the past made our society richer and more
diverse. But at least some are currently worsening our international competitive
position through inducing Americans to spend several times more traveling abroad than foreigners
spend here, and to prefer foreign products even when American products may be cheaper
and equally well made, simply because of the "cachet" or snob value of the foreign good. At times we seem to make a fetish of our political and economic freedoms
to the extent that in some cases we impair their positive value: we are destroying
our economy by spending more than we are willing to pay for in social services, and
importing too many inessential goods. Economics recognizes the existence of "perverse markets"
in which cheaper, inferior products can at times drive better value products off
the market -- somewhat akin to Gresham's Law in which adulterated gold coins drive
good coinage out of circulation. Journalists are at least as competitive as any profession.
But they have used "freedom of the press", a refuge other professions do not enjoy,
to dig up stories which will win them better assignments, more acclaim, higher salaries, and by-line notoriety while insisting on freedom from supervision from the
Courts, Federal Agencies, or even peer review panels, which virtually no other business
or profession enjoys. This has resulted in denying the public of some of our better candidates for public office (and keeping even more from presenting themselves) out
of a perfervid interest in inconsequential details of private life. We are milking
our social services unmercifully simply because they exist and the money is there
to be had by anyone, needy or not, who is technically qualified for a given program (millionaires
receive social security payments, teenage girls get pregnant just to obtain AFDC
money to achieve "independence" from repressive parents).
When we do this by producing so much steel that we destroy our forests by acid rain,
or when we buy so many cars that the smog they create induces lung cancer and highway
congestion grid-lock, we call this a "negative product" or "externality". The classical solution is to pass these costs back up the line by charging the producer or
user a sufficient premium to cover the cost of cleaning up the problem. It has been
suggested, for example, that those who insist on driving one-passenger cars into
the city center for casual shopping should be charged a Central City "admission fee" or parking
fee "surcharge" sufficient to discourage such casual overuse of limited city streets.
This was historically the role of import duties on foreign imports, but through
an excessive ardor to "show the way" in post-WW II trade liberalization, the US liberalized
its trade beyond the capacity or will of most of its trade partners to follow, thus
tilting the world productive machinery against us, resulting in a third-best world in which many countries, not the most efficient producers of certain goods, have
an artificial advantage. "Second Best Theory", were it understood by policy makers
whose economic theory was learned thirty years ago in college, tells us that introducing
certain offsetting countermeasures, not for protectionist reasons, but simply to move
us from third-best to a second-best position, could improve the productive efficiency
not only of the US economy, but of the entire world. Of course, an optimal position of complete free trade would be best, but we are far from achieving that. And to
preserve the US image as the freest market on earth, we seem determined to suffer
(and cause others to suffer) the results of third-best, caused by excessive, destructive,
and unbalanced over-liberalization.
Some Final Thoughts
It is still being charged that women are yet being discriminated against in wages
and salaries. This is ironic. If women have equal marginal productivity, yet are
being paid only two-thirds or four-fifths the salary of men, economic logic would
insist that this equal yet cheaper factor would have replaced all male workers in both business
and industry. As long as managers are economic maximizers, as long as they are driven
by the profit motive, and as long as their own salaries and bonuses depend on results, this is inexorably the situation which should prevail. It should be male attorneys,
male plant managers, male bankers, and male CEOs sending out their resumes and spending
every spare minute "networking" in search of salary equality, if not work itself. That this is not so says much, perhaps, about the residual "customary" elements
in setting wages and prices, even if no longer solely the "family premium" previously
accorded to heads of family. It probably also says something about the frictional
"recognition/reaction lag" in adjusting to changed circumstances. But inasmuch as
contemporary families can no longer live on the male worker's salary alone, without
supplement from mom, we can rest assured that most of the wage adjustment of the
past twenty years has been a downward slide of post-adjustment-for-inflation real male salaries
to meet women rather than a rise of womens' salaries to match mens'. There is no
free lunch. And there was no way to pay female workers more for the same work without
paying male workers less. Those who wish to maintain a contemporary life style must
do so by bringing home two incomes. Those remaining traditionalists who insist on
mother remaining in the home must pay for it through a reduced standard of living,
more of less equivalent to the opportunity cost of what the wife could have earned by going
to work.
Ironically, the result of the Women's Lib campaign for equal wages is that stay-at-home
mothers are subsidizing the "higher but not yet equal" wages of their working peers
through a lower living standard, much as in more traditional times single male workers subsidized their married work mates. It is debatable whether having stay at home
mothers subsidize two income families is a more equitable or socially desirable solution
than having single men subsidize the next generation of children. It cannot be denied that the new approach has profound societal implications which have been insufficiently
recognized. It is also doubtful whether this was the source of income expected by
professional women in their demand for equal wages. Or whether the stay-at-homes wouldn't have assaulted Congress in their own interest twenty years ago (or even
now) if they understood that it is they, not some "unknown benefactor" who is paying
for their working sisters' improved situation.
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