NEWDOLL.AR (Converted)
AmEmbassy-Bucharest
APO AE 09213-1315
February, 1995
Bill Archer, Chairman
Senate Banking & Finance Committee
Senate Office Building
Washington, DC 20510
Dear Sir:
I wrote you on January 11 when it began to appear that after years of debate the
United States would soon be adopting a new form of currency with different sizes
and colors of bills to assist the visually impaired (and foreigners) avoid confusing
different denominations. Even at that time this was good news, being the sort of major
change which occurs only once in half a century. Now with the run on the dollar during
the last couple of weeks, and its depreciation visa a vis the yen and deutchemark
of upwards of 13 per cent -- far more than purchasing power parity would consider its equilibrium,
the moment for introducing a new U.S. currency is doubly indicated. Indeed, the
need, as well as the moment, is unparalleled. As a Harvard PhD with forty years experience as a monetary economist with the State Department and, prior to my retirement,
close work with Treasury and Federal Reserve officials, I'm desperately concerned
that without attention from your Committee we may lose the opportunity to achieve
an even greater and more important reform: to use the occasion to restore the value
of the U.S. dollar by revaluing the currency at the time of introduction. As the
Romans put it: carpe diem
-- seize the opportunity!
I enclosed a paper with my January 11 letter, written following President Bush's
electoral victory in 1988 and sent to him and the National Economic Commission --
but, so far as I could tell, with of no effect at all in their search for new economic
modalities. As you and your Committee undertake the search for ways to reduce the deficit,
you may find some of these suggestions just as fresh as they were seven years ago:
A Federal Road Tax for foreigners (a la Suisse
); charges for foreign tourists visiting National Museums and Historical Sites (as
per every other country in the world); a Stamp Tax for legal documents; A negative
Income Tax and a "Sump" Industry (workfare) proposal to reduce welfare-dependency;
and variable Social Security payments for eligible aliens living abroad -- none of which
appear to have been considered by Mr. Gingrich in his House welfare/budget reform
bill. In case this paper was sent to the "round file", or otherwise mislaid, I
enclose another copy for your attention in hopes it will stimulate early action on introducing
a revalued, as well as res-styled, new U.S. currency.
The section on which I hope you and your staff will concentrate at present is
found on page 6: A New U.S.
Dollar,
which. provides the argumentation for revaluing the dollar at the time the new currency
format is introduced. A "heavy" currency has been found to be the best anti-inflationary
weapon around. According to a study by Milton Friedman of the University of Chicago, the US currency has lost 90 per cent of its value since the '30s. Inflation
is again becoming an issue in national policy. And the best time to head off a new
outbreak is before it starts. Taking into account the current inflationary calm
-- and the coincidence that a current ten dollar bill is worth almost exactly one dollar
of pre-WW II money, now is perhaps the best moment in over half a century to knock
a zero off the value of the new currency, restoring the U.S. dollar to its historic
position as a dependable reserve currency. Let it be remembered that the new French Franc
introduced by French President Charles DeGaulle in 1962? still holds its value after
more than thirty years. A revalued dollar would give the world's main reserve currency a new lease on life for the coming new century. If we merely adopt new sizes
and colors without revaluation, we'll all be dealing in yen and deutchemarks within
the next few years.
Sincerely,
D. B. Timmins, PhD (Harvard), Professor of Finance & Economics (ret.)
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